Peak Bloom Prediction for 2018

sakura cherry blossom in high park icon Predicting peak bloom May 5-12 sakura cherry blossom in high park icon

Too early to determine the bloom, more accurate dates to come.

Updated April 24, 2018 – Some progress seen throughout High Park as the warmer temperatures are now helping the buds move on to the next stage. Watch and read the latest Sakura Watch post for a video walk through, photos, and more in depth details of the most recent park visits.

More visits will be required to see how quickly all the buds will begin next stage of bud development. Current estimated dates is based on the average time the trees tend to bloom under ideal conditions, which so far this year has not been the case.

I will continue to watch over the trees over the coming weeks to start narrowing down more accurate prediction dates.

Park Visitor Tips

Enjoy your visit to the park and please remember to respect the trees:

  • DON’T shake the branches because when you do, the blossoms fall and leave the trees bare – let the bloom last longer and they’ll fall naturally;
  • DON’T climb the trees as you can damage or break the tree branches as happened before;
  • DON’T break off small blooms or branches – the more you damage the trees, the greater the chance they will be open to disease or insects in destroying them;
  • DO take pictures respectfully so everyone can enjoy the sakura // cherry blossoms for years to come

Thank you all who respect the sakura // cherry blossoms – your care helps ensure that everyone can continue to enjoy them year after year.

Predicting the Sakura // Cherry Blossom Peak Bloom

Predicting exactly when the blooms is always a bit tricky from year to year. Weather conditions fluctuate and alway move the date from a few days to even weeks then the normal bloom time. Usually, peak bloom throughout High Park occurs during the weeks of late April and early May.

Stage 1

Sakura in High Park - Stage 1 - brown, closed buds

Brown colour in Buds

Late February to mid-March

Stage 1: The first signs of development show small, brown buds.

Stage 2

Sakura in High Park - Stage 2

Green Color in Buds

Late March to early April

Stage 2: Green tips now begin to be visible on the buds. Still an early stage and well protected from the cold weather which can slow down the development as it has in 2014.

Stage 3

Sakura in High Park - Stage 3

Buds swell, Florets Visible

Early to mid-April, Average 16-21 days to Peak Bloom

Stage 3: Larger, round green buds begin to swell and become more pronounced in size and shape as the florets begin to show. Some buds even begin to display spots of deep pink.

Stage 4

Sakura in High Park - Stage 4

Buds continue to swell with Florets extending

Average 12-17 days to Peak Bloom

Stage 4: As buds have swollen to their largest size, florets begin to extend and elongate. Each floret represent a cherry blossom which will fade through colours of deep pink to white once they fully open.

Stage 5

Sakura in High Park - Stage 5

Florets begin to show individual extensions (Peduncle Elongation)

Average 6-10 days to Peak Bloom

Stage 5: Florets now begin to display the beginnings of individual blossoms with combinations of deep and bright pink colours. Now extremely vulnerable, frost or sudden drops can damage or even kill the blossoms at this stage as happened in 2008 when a sudden cold snap resulted in no blossoms blooming that year.

Stage 6

Sakura in High Park - Stage 6

White Blossoms begin to puff and open

Average 4-6 days to Peak Bloom

Final stage: The highlight of the Sakura // Cherry Blossoms when the pink florets begin to fully open into bright, white blossoms throughout the park. Each section opens at slightly a day or so apart, but offer an inspirational spectacle for all to see for the next 1-2 weeks (weather permitting).

6 replies
    • Sakura Steve says:

      Unfortunately, the rain the last few days has knocked down all the blossoms so they are done for this year. You may see the start of the other blossoms (akebono) and other plants and flowers starting to come in, but no more Yoshino blossoms.

      Thanks for visiting the website,
      Sakura Steve

  1. Parul says:

    Hello all,

    Any idea if any bloom is still left? It rained last night and seems windy this morning. We are in other part of gta and before we left home for the park, just wanted to know if it’s worth the trip this year.

    Many thanks
    Parul

    • Sakura Steve says:

      Unfortunately, the rain and winds of the last few days has knocked down all the blossoms so they are done for this year. You may see the start of the other blossoms (akebono) and other plants and flowers starting to come in, but no more Yoshino blossoms.

      Thanks for visiting the website,
      Sakura Steve

    • Sakura Steve says:

      Hi Jaya,
      The park had another night of rain last night and your best chance will be seeing blossoms along the path that line Grenadier Pond or even near the High Park Zoo and playground. Be prepared though, as more rain is in the forecast today & tonight, that by Tuesday the overall impact will likely be even less then what I saw this past Sunday.

      Hopefully there will be some still out for you to see during your visit!

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